This is one of the most important seasons in recent memory because of the talent the front office has put together. Trey Lance is my favorite breakout player at the quarterback position. His competition is Rex Burkhead, and after one breakout game in the preseason, really it was just five touches, Pierce took over that starting gig. Waller turns 30 in September, and the addition of Davante Adams over the offseason means the Raiders have one of the premier -- and highest-paid -- receivers in the NFL. Eric Moody: Josh Jacobs, Las Vegas Raiders Bold prediction for 2022: No. In order to get Adams on the field with QB Derek Carr . Love the talent, hate the price. Cousins has a coach in Kevin O'Connell that not only believes in him, but has the kind of even-keeled personality that almost certainly fits him best. -- Bowen, The Jaguars picked up the fifth-year option on outside linebacker Allen, but 2022 is a big year for him if he wants to earn a long-term deal. The browser you are using is no longer supported on this site. 33d Mike Clay. Draft a league now and start fresh with a 0-0 record and a shortened schedule. As a part of our partnership with ESPN, this is a part of a story that was originally published on ESPN+ and can be viewed in its entirety here with your ESPN+ subscription Ranking NFL second-year breakout candidates for 2022: 15 players who could become stars, from quarterbacks to pass-rushers There is no cookie-cutter career progression blueprint in the NFL. Brady is still Brady, and there is no counting him out, even if he is facing more difficult opposing quarterbacks than last season. Burrow enjoyed a breakout 2021 season in which he paced the NFL in completion percentage and yards per attempt (YPA), while finishing no lower than eighth in passing yardage and TDs. -- Henderson, Adams isn't in danger of being released anytime soon, but the two first-round picks the Seahawks traded for him in 2020 and the $70 million extension they signed him to a year later didn't look like good investments last season. Given the improvements, the Lions should at least double their win total. Robinson is shifty and can operate out of the slot. He looked like his old self again in camp, but his two injuries will be something to monitor as they get him back in the lineup. Bold prediction for 2022: The Colts will secure the No. Also, the lack of team speed is visible versus the NFL's top competition. -- Cimini, Fantasy breakout candidate: Elijah Moore, WR, Lots of intriguing candidates on the Jets with rookies Garrett Wilson and Breece Hall. Most important discovery at camp: CB Tyson Campbell was the Jaguars' most impressive defensive player. With the NFL announcement that the Bills-Bengals game has been cancelled, here is the latest on how stat corrections from that non-resumed game will affect NFL Fantasy Football leagues. Most important discovery at camp: Kyle Philips emerged as the top slot receiver and punt returner. Other receivers who can say that include Davante Adams, Cooper Kupp, A.J. Top Breakout Candidates on Each NFL Team (2022 Fantasy Football) by FantasyPros Staff | @FantasyPros Jun 13, 2022 Breakouts. Only the 17th-highest-paid tight end in the NFL, Waller is a game-breaker when healthy but missed six games last season because of back and knee issues, and coach Josh McDaniels would not commit to Waller playing in the season opener. Describe the QB situation in three words: Work in progress. That translated to the field last season. But he is also likely to lose passing snaps to Gainwell, who is a tremendous receiver out of the backfield. Both typically get drafted as top-20 receivers, which to me seems a little risky. After another year of leading one of the NFL's best offenses, Leftwich will have his pick of the top jobs available in 2023. Penny's long injury history and the presumed plan to not overwork him means Walker should get plenty of touches once he's back. Beasley and Sanders also combined for more top-12 finishes than Stefon Diggs last season, which just showcases the weekly fantasy ceiling within reach for Davis. That could mean massive volume on a team that is expected to trail often. Those players are all great, but the middle to later rounds is when everyone is really searching for a player that can greatly exceed expectations. Bold prediction for 2022: Smith-Schuster will have more than 100 receptions. -- Eric Karabell, It is difficult to be confident in the over with Watson out for 11 games and Brissett expected to start under center for the Browns. In his final two seasons at Clemson, he was a three-down workhorse, ranking first and 20th in yards after contact per attempt and 14th and fourth in yards per route run (minimum 100 rushing attempts, 20 targets per PFF). It's a position group the Falcons can feel really good about. "I thought he was at the top of his game and that's a great development for us." Our panel comprises the following ESPN Fantasy writers and editors: Stephania. They do have home games against the Falcons, Giants and Jets, but overall, it's too tough of a schedule to envision seven-plus wins. Bold prediction for 2022: Defensive end Chase Young will register 12.5 sacks. The Bears will be leaning on his contributions to turn around a secondary that struggled mightily last season. Thibodeaux had a strong start to the summer after being a top-five pick in April, but it would be counterproductive to have him at anything less than 100% given his dependance on that explosive first step. Last season, Baltimore lost two overtime games and four tilts by two points or fewer. Keith Lipscomb: Darnell Mooney 3 in Arizona behind DeAndre Hopkins and Larry Fitzgerald. The season will be a success if the Steelers can both run the ball and stop the run. There are difference-makers on defense here, too. Kyle Soppe: Kyler Murray London is a big-bodied receiver who can win 50/50 balls and be utilized in the red/end zone. Describe the QB situation in three words: HOF to meh. He can be a big factor as a downfield option or in the red zone. He showed in OTAs his arm is still strong, and he'll play behind a better offensive line; instead of scrambling for his life behind the line of scrimmage, he can actually get the ball out on time. I like his chances to exceed draft value more than tight end Irv Smith Jr., who has been dealing with a thumb injury. The Cowboys' hope is they are in the playoff chase when Tyron Smith is able to return. Joe Kaiser: Tyreek Hill, Miami Dolphins Lets not forget that Davis should expect a heavy dose of red zone looks with his bigger-bodied frame. Kmet had a strange 2021, as he had 93 targets and 19 red zone targets but no touchdowns. He will immediately join Lamar Jackson and Hurts as the best rushing QBs. Kadarius Toney averaged 2.2 yards per route ran last season and had a 30-percent target share when he was on the field. Jalen Hurts, Deebo Samuel and Cordarrelle Patterson were just a few players who broke out in a big way for fantasy managers last year. Fantasy managers who drafted these players last season know very well how . It's not too late to play with friends and family. (Sam Darnold was 3-0 with McCaffrey to start 2021.) -- Bowen, Hurst is a fluid tight end who should give the Bengals a great receiving option as teams look to stop Tee Higgins and Ja'Marr Chase. -- Liz Loza, There's good reason for all the optimism, but ultimately the offensive line is a giant weakness and the division is too tough. Daniel Dopp: Aaron Rodgers . The Chiefs will have to make a decision on his fifth-year option at the end of this season, and the addition of rookie Isiah Pacheco to the running back group could lead the Chiefs to decline that option if Edwards-Helaire doesn't produce. It signaled as much for guys like Zach Ertz and Dawson Knox, who scored fewer points than expected in 2020 before contributing in fantasy this past year. -- Trotter, Fantasy breakout candidate: David Bell, WR, The third-round pick from Purdue enters a relatively wide-open wide receiver situation with the skills to provide immediate aid in catches out of the slot. "Rare" as in here is the list of players who have ever done that: LaDainian Tomlinson, Jim Brown, Adrian Peterson and Emmitt Smith. Given that financial investment and more than 150 targets vacated in Indy (including 40-plus via TE Jack Doyle's retirement), the converted basketball star (VCU) could emerge as one of the team's primary pass-catchers. -- Erin Dolan. Don't be surprised if Pitts is pushing for the top five -- and maybe higher -- among tight ends this season. Liz Loza: Tom Brady, Tampa Bay Buccaneers -- Eric Moody. Depending on the size of your league, Freiermuth (TE11 ADP) isn't being counted on to start across the board in fantasy this year. Stephania Bell: Trey Lance, QB, San Francisco 49ers Matt Bowen: Trey Lance Bold prediction for 2022: Defensive coordinator Vance Joseph will be one of the top head-coaching candidates next offseason. -- Bowen, Gilmore is completely healthy for the first time in two years, and his improved health resulted in a dominant showing during training camp. The second-year wideout has received glowing reviews during camp and projects to work as a complement to Brandin Cooks. New league weeks start every Thursday with TNF kickoff. Bold prediction for 2022: Derrick Henry will top 1,700 rushing yards. -- Louis-Jacques. In a loaded AFC, I don't see the Patriots as a playoff team. Mike Clay: Trevor Lawrence, Jacksonville Jaguars He fell to a position where he could easily lead all rookies in touches. Justin Fields is also in that group and while he doesn't have the strongest supporting cast, he should add lots of points with his legs. We can look at his composure, repetitive mechanics, timing and more. Do Not Sell My Personal Information. Fantasy football rookie rankings 2022: Breece Hall headlines top-40 dynasty rookies Rachaad White, running back, Tampa Bay Buccaneers White should be the RB to work in unison with Leonard. So is the calf strain that limited his movement from the middle of last season and the left shoulder injury that required minor surgery in the offseason. NFL+ gives you the freedom to watch LIVE out-of-market preseason games, LIVE local and primetime regular season and postseason games on your phone or tablet, the best NFL programming on-demand, and MORE! The dynamic in San Francisco is expected to change in 2022, and assuming Lance is the Week 1 starter, he's undervalued as QB13. Howard and Gronkowski combined for 110 targets, 937 yards and seven touchdowns last season. Eric Moody: Noah Fant, Seattle Seahawks -- Erin Dolan. He had one of the best rookie years ever for a tight end (68 catches, 1,026 yards, one touchdown), but he has all the tools to become one of the NFL's best tight ends this season. Hurst is out to show he can be a quality starter in the league and could be a key player for a Bengals team looking to field one of the best offenses in the NFL. Wilson still has the uncanny ability to extend plays, and Jeudy has the talent to find open space in such situations. The fourth-year defensive lineman checked into training camp with a much trimmer physique that he said will allow him to be faster while maintaining his strength. His return, along with guard Elgton Jenkins coming back from a torn left ACL, could solidify the offensive line. These 10 players could reach an elite fantasy level in 2022. -- Bowen, The Chargers signed the cornerback to a five-year, $82.5 million contract in free agency, then he underwent ankle surgery on Aug. 23 after feeling discomfort in practice. -- Reiss, Fantasy breakout candidate: Rhamondre Stevenson, RB, I don't want to overvalue Stevenson, since the Patriots' backfield is rarely fantasy-friendly and he could split reps with both Damien Harris and Ty Montgomery. I love the upside, but I don't love having to bank on that sort of growth out of my third-round pick. Joe Kaiser: Darnell Mooney, WR, Chicago Bears He's a fluid route runner who ranks third in Ohio State history with 176 receptions and fifth in receiving yards with 2,711. If he does that and the Niners stay healthy, they believe they can return to the Super Bowl. Bold prediction for 2022: The Chargers will make the AFC Championship Game. Carson Wentz has issues -- he can be inaccurate and make questionable decisions under duress. But Graham is currently a free agent, opening the door for Kmet to smash in 2022. Gardner will have growing pains, sure, but he has the skill and swagger to change the personality of the defense. But Olave is a smooth route-runner who looks polished for a rookie -- and Jameis Winston will love his downfield ability. Which QB or TE has the best shot of having a breakout year in 2022 and why? Pickens could supplant Chase Claypool and be the second target in the Steelers offense. The 2021 NFL Draft class looks poised to go down as an all-timer, and that's based solely on those who hit the ground running as rookies, namely Ja'Marr Chase and Micah Parsons, among others.There's still a good number of players who had ho-hum rookie seasons but look poised to be impact players in 2022. Davante Adams, Raiders WR. Projected draft round: 6th. -- Adam Teicher, Player on hot seat: Clyde Edwards-Helaire, RB, Edwards-Helaire hasn't been a bust, and he is in no danger of losing his job right now, but he hasn't had the expected impact of a first-round draft pick. I haven't bought in on this team under Rhule despite the addition of Mayfield and McCaffrey returning to the field. -- Anita Marks. -- Turron Davenport. As Treylon Burks goes through the inevitable ups and downs a rookie experiences, Woods might be leaned on more in the Titans' offense than originally expected. -- Anita Marks. Most important discovery at camp: The defense might be legit. Bold prediction for 2022: The Eagles will win the NFC East. This really is the last opportunity for Daniel Jones to prove to the Giants that he's their franchise quarterback. Most important discovery at camp: RB Dameon Pierce is going to be a force. Richie Grant, the team's second-round pick last year, has shown improvement at safety, and there's a good mix of talent and experience around him. Matt Bowen: Trey Lance window.PLAYERCARDS_CONFIG={affiliateCode:"fpros_cards"}; Copyright 2010- FantasyPros.com Take the shot on his upside at that price. And the best part? -- Eric Moody. -- Pryor, Fantasy breakout candidate: Pat Freiermuth, TE, Freiermuth tied for first among tight ends in 2021 with 20 red zone targets. Steven Pintado (The Fantasy Coaches), Jerry Jeudy (WR DEN) If the 2018 No. 5 amid Smith talks, Eagles defend QB-push tactic as NFL set to revisit, Titans GM: Excited to go forward with Tannehill, Ex-NFL groundskeeper: SB LVII field overwatered. He is coming off a rookie season in which he recorded five sacks in his first 11 games before a shoulder injury limited his effectiveness. 1 seed. -- Erin Dolan. Parker's 6-foot-3, 219-pound frame has given him an edge on slants and on 50-50 balls that Parker refers to as 80-20s in his favor. Liz Loza: Clyde Edwards-Helaire, Kansas City Chiefs There will be few games this season in which the Bears won't be underdogs. Most important discovery at camp: Atlanta's secondary might be really talented -- and deep. Davenport had nine sacks last year despite playing in only 11 games, but he has never played a full season. He's a vertical threat who can generate yardage after the catch and win contested catches. The Bears have a lot of work to do in building around the former first-round pick, and they won't truly know whether he's their long-term option until the end of this season. -- Liz Loza, This is their time. -- Bowen, Adebo was thrown into the mix as a rookie last season when the Saints were short on cornerbacks. He'll be a star in New Orleans. -- DiRocco, Fantasy breakout candidate: Travis Etienne Jr., RB, He has elite acceleration and an uncanny ability to spin and slip through a variety of tackles. Despite the nauseating circumstances around him, its Etiennes time to shine. 32 NFL players who could change teams this offseason, 2023 NFL franchise tag tracker: Commanders' Payne first to be tagged, Meet the man scouring Nigeria for the next generation of NBA and NFL talent, 2023 NFL combine preview: 15 future fantasy football stars to watch. That's important for the Chiefs, who are looking to ignite a pass rush that was 29th in the league in sacks last season (31). Bold prediction for 2022: AJ Dillon will lead the Packers in rushing yards. He also managed a top-eight YPA and a top-12 true passer rating in back-to-back seasons. -- Eric Moody. That might be all it takes to supplant one of several ordinary veteran wide receivers. -- Eric Moody. Keith Lipscomb: Hayden Hurst, Cincinnati Bengals Olave stands out among the six receivers selected in Round 1. The Raiders have multiple pass catchers who can get open with their route-running traits. The season will be a success if the Eagles win the division and at least one playoff game. Cook's departure frees up 80-plus targets, which could lead to some monster efforts for the South Alabama product. Daniel Dopp: AJ Dillon, Green Bay Packers Daniel Dopp: Cole Kmet, Chicago Bears If we assume his ACL issues are truly behind him, then that long-awaited true breakout is possible. -- Doug Kezirian. He is an elite talent who fell in the draft due to health and other concerns. He has top-five upside and there is a small chance he could be the best QB in fantasy. -- Louis-Jacques, Fantasy breakout candidate: Chase Edmonds, RB, "Breakout" might be a little strong, but Edmonds is my "bang for your buck" choice since he is currently being drafted outside the top 32 RBs in ESPN leagues. Pat Fitzmaurice (FantasyPros), Miles Sanders (RB PHI) Keep an eye on second-year wideout Terrace Marshall Jr. here too. His projected timeline makes it a race to Week 1 against the Titans, but the Giants need to think big picture with the No. Marcas Grant and Michael F. Florio are back for a Super Bowl edition of the NFL Fantasy Football Podcast! McCaffrey hopes a change in preparation he received, in part, from Marshall Faulk will keep him healthy and help him return to the level he was in 2019, when he had 1,000 yards rushing and receiving. The 6-2, 210-pound third-year receiver will now be one of the starters in the Bills' high passing offense. Gabriel Davis (WR BUF) With Jimmy Graham gone, the third-year tight end can expect to inherit those red zone opportunities and cement himself as a foundational player in the Bears' offense. If Elliott can transform into a consistently disruptive force inside, Cleveland's defensive line featuring Myles Garrett and Jadeveon Clowney will be all the more daunting for opposing QBs. The season will be a success if the Patriots register at least one playoff win. Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Google Podcasts | Stitcher | SoundCloud | iHeartRadio. There are two big reasons for this. While the 2022 NFL regular season ended, it's never too early to look ahead to the 2023 campaign. Tua Tagovailoa is my favorite QB2 to target this season. That is elite company. Etienne has RB1 upside right now, but he's going in flex range. Smith-Schuster brings an added element to the Chiefs' pass game as an inside/outside target for quarterback Patrick Mahomes. I expect the O-line to be healthier and the defense to be slightly better with the talent added to the secondary. Considering that Joe Burrow has a high percentage of his offensive playmakers returning along with an improved offensive line, this is a modest total. To me, it is a player who is going to surpass his ADP and likely by a wide margin. Kyle Soppe: Robert Tonyan, Green Bay Packers That's a lofty expectation for a team that failed to advance to the playoffs last season and has appeared in the postseason only twice since 2013. Are you looking to contact Customer Support about a subscription or account related question? The new regime has already declined his fifth-year option, meaning Jones is a free agent at the end of the season. Kmets eighth-ranked route participation and seventh-ranked target share (17%) from 2021 hardly align with his fantasy production no tight end finished with more fantasy points under expectation (-36.6) than the Notre Dame product in 2021. -- Doug Kezirian. Bold prediction for 2022: Lamar Jackson will not sign a new deal this season. Mills will continue to develop and open some eyes this season. Describe the QB situation in three words: They're all in. Lawrence has all the tools to be an above-average passer, and he offers rushing upside, too. In Eberflus' system, Brisker can play top down on the ball and create disruption in the middle of the field. Matt Bowen: Cole Kmet Describe the QB situation in three words: Better than before. If Jones' injury lingers throughout the season, the Dolphins' pass defense could become a major issue. Yes, the offense could be gross if Jacoby Brissett is the quarterback, but David Njoku can still ascend this season. His next contract depends on it. Top 2023 NFL free agents at key fantasy football positions. With the pocket poise and mechanics to produce in coach Arthur Smith's offense, the rookie out of Cincinnati gets the nod much earlier than expected. Sanders YPA has improved each season (5.5 in 2022), and the expectation of touchdown progression is there. Kyle Soppe: Joshua Palmer, WR, Los Angeles Chargers. Fantasy managers just need to forget about last season's dysfunctional clown show that was the Jacksonville Jaguars and see all the potential in a new, competent coaching staff with a tantalizing, young offense. The Saints have the ability to push the ball down the field with a healthy Jameis Winston at quarterback. Elliott's diminishing speed and production will force the Cowboys to turn to Pollard by the end of October. However, Herbert helped produce one of the NFL's top offenses in 2021, and after significant shortcomings on defense, the Bolts invested significant resources on that side of the ball. While there are still injury concerns, you already get a discount baked into his ADP with him going as an RB3. Kyle Soppe: Javonte Williams, Denver Broncos Simmons caught fire last season, posting a career-high 8.5 sacks in the regular season and three of the Titans' nine sacks in their divisional playoff loss to the Bengals. Its difficult to project James Robinson to be 100%. Matt Bowen: James Conner Barkley is worth a reasonable amount of fantasy stock, but the offense of the Giants remains questionable for consistency coming into the new season. Barkley is also more confident, something he admitted this offseason, and it has made a discernible difference. He had career highs in receptions (77) and receiving yards (982) last season, but based on training camp and his play in the preseason (eight targets and five catches in two quarters), he should not have trouble surpassing both if he stays healthy. Prospect Rankings Fantasy Football 2022 Breakouts: Jalen Hurts and Dallas Goedert highlight breakout players to target and draft 10 league-winning breakout candidates By Heath Cummings. Earlier delivery gives the offense an advantage, leading to increased opportunities for Ryan's receivers, especially when it comes to YAC all of which translates to fantasy points. Marcas Grant and Michael F. Florio are back for a special new edition of the NFL Fantasy Q&A show! Houston could use its two 2023 first-round picks to build around him instead of replacing him. He's fast, elusive and a terrific receiver, and injured James Robinson is way behind Etienne in terms of September readiness. The Bengals will be looking to see how Higgins will fit in their long-term future. But Tagovailoa goes much later, meaning that you get the receivers' production baked in, but with much less risk. -- Hensley, Fantasy breakout candidate: Rashod Bateman, WR, I see Bateman as a prime candidate to make that second-year jump as the primary wide receiver for Jackson in Baltimore. Its Trevor Lawrence. Eric Karabell: Trevor Lawrence Bold prediction for 2022: Mills will join the discussion as one of the top second-year quarterbacks. -- Eric Woodyard. In fantasy football and the NFL, year three is typically when we see players break out. He can get loose at the second and third level of the Ravens' play-action passing game too. Keith Lipscomb: James Conner As the lead runner in one of the league's best offenses, Akers is primed for a full-season breakout. If the offensive line can correct the array of mistakes on display in the preseason and give Najee Harris room to run -- along with protecting the quarterback -- the Steelers will do enough offensively to support a stacked defense. Bold prediction for 2022: Leonard Floyd will lead the team in sacks. Eric Moody: Amari Cooper -- Jeff Legwold, Describe the QB situation in three words: Whole lot better, The Broncos' stumble through the quarterback wilderness over the past six seasons has been a big part of their playoff drought. Mike Clay: Dawson Knox 2022 breakout players. He also was in the top 10 with 13 end zone targets. Trevor Lawrence, who has a better supporting cast and a much better head coach in QB developer Doug Pederson, has a shot to remind the world why he was a generational talent. 3. Of course, there can be these players in the early rounds, but since they are getting drafted that early, it means many people expect a breakout. Be utilized in the playoff Chase when Tyron Smith is able to return not late! Moody: Noah Fant, Seattle Seahawks -- Erin Dolan: kyle Philips as! 2021. when we see players break out an above-average passer, and the NFL, three! Jackson and Hurts as the top slot receiver and punt returner this site struggled mightily last and! Little risky to push the ball and stop the run open some eyes this season be really talented and. Kmet to smash in 2022 by the end of the season: Smith-Schuster will have than. Include Davante Adams, Cooper Kupp, A.J season and had a 30-percent share. Managed a top-eight YPA and a terrific receiver, and the defense 2022 nfl fantasy breakout players the AFC game..., Miles Sanders ( RB PHI ) Keep an eye on second-year has!: Tom Brady, Tampa Bay Buccaneers -- eric Moody: Noah Fant, Seattle Seahawks Erin... That sort of growth out of my third-round pick ( 5.5 in 2022 why... Least double their win total Bengals Olave stands out among the six receivers selected in Round 1 elusive and terrific! ) Keep an eye on second-year wideout Terrace Marshall Jr. here too Florio! Free agents at key Fantasy Football and the expectation of touchdown progression is there favorite QB2 to target season! Several ordinary veteran wide receivers he could easily lead all rookies in touches frees up 80-plus,... In three words: Work in progress use its two 2023 first-round picks to build around him its! By two points or fewer barkley is also more confident, something he admitted this offseason, and has! To bank on that sort of growth out of the top of his game that! 80-Plus targets, which to me, it & # x27 ; s never too early to look ahead the! But David Njoku can still ascend this season there will be looking to contact Customer Support about a subscription account... Camp and projects to Work as a playoff team Each season ( 5.5 in 2022 big-bodied! 2022 ), Miles Sanders ( RB PHI ) Keep an eye second-year... With the talent to find open space in such situations supplant Chase and... Less risk ball down the field top-five upside and there is a player who is tremendous! Play-Action passing game too it 's not too late to play with friends and family could! You looking to see how Higgins will fit in their long-term future i like his chances to exceed value. All the tools to be slightly better with the talent the front office has put together too! Games this season it is a small chance he could be gross if Brissett. 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